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EURUSD - ROREX FACTORY

I'm short from 1.2176 sl: 1.2265. I took the position Friday
morning around 8AM EST. I wanted to trail the stop, but
fell asleep because of whacky sleeping patterns last week.
Luckily price didnt suddenly reverse on me through my stop
again. I'm thinking about moving the s/l asap to 1.2170, about
breakeven. I'll cover on another bounce around 1.1205 area,
but I'd like to leave the trade open and hopefully make some
decent gains on a break below 1.2060 area. I wish I wouldve
gotten in earlier, but have been focusing on the GBPUSD and
USDCHF lately.

Is anybody in this trade?

What do you think about moving my stop to 1.2170? Too tight?
I placed it here because I'm thinking there is at least two levels
of resistance from where we are now on Fri close @ 1.2124:
1)1.2140 Fri high after bounce from 1.1203 (near Fri low) and ~50%
fibo from Friday high to 1.1203
2)just above 61.8% fibo (1.2159)of 1.2213->1.2077) and a prior intraday
support for Friday

If it breaks these, then I will wait until a break of 1.2213 to glong
or play smaller fibos to look for small pip gains until there is a clear
direction??

I want to be in a somewhat of a decent position just in case if it
breaks out of this daily consolidation. I might be able to re-enter
on a bounce of 1.1205 area and back down off of 1.2200 area. What do you
think of my reasoning?

How can I improve this type of fibo support/resistance analysis ... maybe with some indicators? I noticed the intraday and daily double tops and headandshoulders, btw, but didnt mention them. Both are trend reversal signals, so it is a high probality we will see more downside, but it's still kind of iffy as to when for me.

Thanks
snprr

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United States dollar

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For details of current paper money and coins, see Federal Reserve Note and Coins of the United States dollar.
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United States dollar
$1 to $100 notes
$1 to $100 notes
ISO 4217 Code USD
Official user(s) Flag of the United States United States of America
6 U.S. territories[show]
Puerto Rico
U.S. Virgin Islands
Northern Mariana Islands
American Samoa
Guam
United States Minor Outlying Islands
Unofficial user(s)
11 countries and territories[show]
East Timor (with East Timor centavo coins)
British Virgin Islands (U.K.)
Ecuador
El Salvador
Marshall Islands
Federated States of Micronesia
Palau
Panama (alongside Panamanian balboa)
Turks and Caicos Islands (U.K.)
Bermuda (alongside Bermudian dollar) (U.K)
Zimbabwe (alongside Zimbabwean dollar and South African Rand)
Inflation 4.2% (United States only)
Source The World Factbook, 2008 est.

FOREX ISLAMIC TRADING

1. The Basic Exchange Contracts
There is a general consensus among Islamic jurists on the view that currencies of different countries can be exchanged on a spot basis at a rate different from unity, since currencies of different countries are distinct entities with different values or intrinsic worth, and purchasing power. There also seems to be a general agreement among a majority of scholars on the view that currency exchange on a forward basis is not permissible, that is, when the rights and obligations of both parties relate to a future date. However, there is considerable difference of opinion among jurists when the rights of either one of the parties, which is same as obligation of the counterparty, is deferred to a future date.
To elaborate, let us consider the example of two individuals A and B who belong to two different countries, India and US respectively. A intends to sell Indian rupees and buy U.S dollars. The converse is true for B. The rupee-dollar exchange rate agreed upon is 1:20 and the transaction involves buying and selling of $50. The first situation is that A makes a spot payment of Rs1000 to B and accepts payment of $50 from B. The transaction is settled on a spot basis from both ends. Such transactions are valid and Islamically permissible. There are no two opinions about the same. The second possibility is that settlement of the transaction from both ends is deferred to a future date, say after six months from now. This implies that both A and B would make and accept payment of Rs1000 or $50, as the case may be, after six months. The predominant view is that such a contract is not Islamically permissible. A minority view considers it permissible. The third scenario is that the transaction is partly settled from one end only. For example, A makes a payment of Rs1000 now to B in lieu of a promise by B to pay $50 to him after six months. Alternatively, A accepts $50 now from B and promises to pay Rs1000 to him after six months. There are diametrically opposite views on the permissibility of such contracts which amount to bai-salam in currencies. The purpose of this paper is to present a comprehensive analysis of various arguments in support and against the permissibility of these basic contracts involving currencies. The first form of contracting involving exchange of countervalues on a spot basis is beyond any kind of controversy. Permissibility or otherwise of the second type of contract in which delivery of one of the countervalues is deferred to a future date, is generally discussed in the framework of riba prohibition. Accordingly we discuss this contract in detail in section 2 dealing with the issue of prohibition of riba. Permissibility of the third form of contract in which delivery of both the countervalues is deferred, is generally discussed within the framework of reducing risk and uncertainty or gharar involved in such contracts. This, therefore, is the central theme of section 3 which deals with the issue of gharar. Section 4 attempts a holistic view of the Sharia relates issues as also the economic significance of the basic forms of contracting in the currency market.

2. The Issue of Riba Prohibition
The divergence of views1 on the permissibility or otherwise of exchange contracts in currencies can be traced primarily to the issue of riba prohibition.
The need to eliminate riba in all forms of exchange contracts is of utmost importance. Riba in its Sharia context is generally defined2 as an unlawful gain derived from the quantitative inequality of the countervalues in any transaction purporting to effect the exchange of two or more species (anwa), which belong to the same genus (jins) and are governed by the same efficient cause (illa). Riba is generally classified into riba al-fadl (excess) and riba al-nasia (deferment) which denote an unlawful advantage by way of excess or deferment respectively. Prohibition of the former is achieved by a stipulation that the rate of exchange between the objects is unity and no gain is permissible to either party. The latter kind of riba is prohibited by disallowing deferred settlement and ensuring that the transaction is settled on the spot by both the parties. Another form of riba is called riba al-jahiliyya or pre-Islamic riba which surfaces when the lender asks the borrower on the maturity date if the latter would settle the debt or increase the same. Increase is accompanied by charging interest on the amount initially borrowed.

GCI FINANCIAL

Daily Cost of Carry ("Premium")
CFD/Share Trading Account

Some positions held past 5PM EST (New York time) will be subject to Cost of Carry charges/credits as detailed in the "Reference Prices" window of your trading platform. This cost is set at 0% to 8% per annum of the notional value of the position, depending on the product. Individual shares are charged 8% per annum for long positions and 2% per annum for short positions.

This equates to about $0.00 to $1.00 per lot per day for most instruments.


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Standard Forex Account

Overnight carry charges for Standard Forex trading are indicated in the "Currency Reference Rates" or "Instruments" window of the trading platform, but quoted directly in dollars per lot per day (Euros per lot per day for Euro-denominated accounts). The average cost is about $5 per lot per day, or about 1/2 pip per day, for currencies. Clients can pay or receive this amount, based on their margin settings.


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Mini Forex Account

Overnight carry charges for Mini Forex trading are indicated in the "Currency Reference Rates" or "Instruments" window of the trading platform, quoted in dollars per lot per day (Euros per lot per day for Euro-denominated accounts). The average cost is about $0.50 per lot per day, or about 1/2 pip per day, for currencies.


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MetaTrader Accounts

Positions held past 5PM EST (New York time) will be subject to Cost of Carry charges/credits. This cost is set at 0% to 8% per annum of the notional value of the position, depending on the product. Forex cost of carry charges are based on interbank convention and other instruments are charged a fixed amount based on the margin requirement of the product

Forex Basics

Calculating Profit and Loss

For ease of use, most online trading platforms automatically calculate the P&L of a traders' open positions. However, it is useful to understand how this calculation is formulated:

To illustrate an FX trade, consider the following two examples.

Let's say that the current bid/ask for EUR/USD is 1.4616⁰/19⁰, meaning you can buy 1 euro for 1.4619⁰ or sell 1 euro for 1.4616⁰.

Suppose you decide that the Euro is undervalued against the US dollar. To execute this strategy, you would buy Euros (simultaneously selling dollars), and then wait for the exchange rate to rise.

So you make the trade: to buy 100,000 Euros you pay 146,190 dollars (100,000 x 1.4619⁰). Remember, at 1% margin, your initial margin deposit would be approximately $1,461 for this trade.

As you expected, Euro strengthens to 1.4623⁰/26⁰. Now, to realize your profits, you sell 100,000 Euros at the current rate of 1.4623⁰, and receive $146,230

You bought 100k Euros at 1.4619⁰, paying $146,190. Then you sold 100k Euros at 1.4623⁰, receiving $146,230. That's a difference of 4 pips, or in dollar terms ($146,190 - 146,230 = $40).

Total profit = US $40.

Now in the example, let's say that we once again buy EUR/USD when trading at 1.4616⁰/19⁰. You buy 100,000 Euros you pay 146,190 dollars (100,000 x 1.4619⁰).

However, Euro weakens to 1.46110/140. Now, to minimize your loses to sell 100,000 Euros at 1.4611⁰ and receive $146,110.

You bought 100k Euros at 1.4619⁰, paying $146,190. You sold 100k Euros at 1.4611⁰, receiving $146,110. That's a difference of 8 pips, or in dollar terms ($146,190 - $146,110 = $80).

Total loss = US $80.

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